Canadian Football Leagues Week # 11 Best Bets !

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/06/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/05/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/03/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
Totals 4-4-0 50.00% -200

Friday, September 10Game Score Status Pick Amount

Calgary - 9:00 PM ET Calgary -11 500 *****
Edmonton - Under 54 500 *****
 

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Calgary at Edmonton

The Stampeders look to take advantage of an Edmonton team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games in September. Calgary is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-10 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 10

Game 491-492: Calgary at Edmonton (9:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 120.100; Edmonton 105.028
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 15; 50
Vegas Line: Calgary by 10 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-10 1/2); Under
 

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Week 11


Friday, September 10

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CALGARY (8 - 1) at EDMONTON (2 - 7) - 9/10/2010, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-4 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-3 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Week 11


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Trend Report
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Friday, September 10

9:00 PM
CALGARY vs. EDMONTON
Calgary is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
 

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Week 11 CFL games

Calgary (8-1) @ Edmonton (2-7)-- Alberta rivals meeting for third time in five weeks, four nights after Stampeders crushed Edmonton 52-5, in a game Calgary led 33-5 at half. Calgary outscored Eskimos 108-20 in two meetings this year; total yardage in two games was 1,014-480. Stamps won last six games, covering last four, scoring 56-48-52 points last three gams. Eskimos are 2-3 at home, with losses by 15-1-10 points; they are 2-4 vs spread as an underdog, 1-1 at home.
 

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Week 11

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 11 Analysis and predictions
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Calgary Stampeders at Edmonton Eskimos (+11, 54)

Less than a week after suffering a 52-5 beating at the hands of the Stampeders, the Eskimos must face once more their rivals from Alberta. This time it’s in front of their home crowd in Edmonton but it shouldn’t be any easier.

The Eskimos will be without two pillars: running back Arkee Whitlock (foot injury) and special team leading man Chris Ciezki.

The Stampeders come to Edmonton on a six-game winning streak and they’ve won their last five games against the Eskimos. On the bright side for Edmonton, kick returner Tristan Jackson will be back in action after spending nine weeks on the injury list.

The stats are lopsided against the Eskimos who have the worst offensive production in the CFL (167 points) and the most generous defense (305 points allowed). It’s quite the opposite for the Stampeders who boast the most explosive attacking unit (323 points) and the cheapest defense (182 points allowed).

Pick: Calgary
 

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CFL Odds: Calgary road favorites at Edmonton

The Calgary Stampeders go on the road looking for a sweep of a home-and-home series with the Edmonton Eskimos. This Week 11 matchup is scheduled for Friday, Sept. 10 at Commonwealth Stadium in Edmonton. Kickoff is set for 6 p.m. (PT).

Calgary has feasted on Edmonton so far this season with two lopsided wins. The Stampeders stomped the Eskimos 56-15 in Week 7 as an eight-point road favorite. The game easily eclipsed the total line of 53. Calgary QB Henry Burris threw for 305 yards and three TD’s and WR Nic Lewis caught five passes for 117 yards and scored twice. The Stamps built and insurmountable 32-8 lead at the half and coasted from there.

Last week these two teams met in Calgary and the result was pretty much the same. This time the Stampeders were a 12 ½-point favorite and they rolled to a 52-5 victory, easily covering the CFL spread. The total for this game went ‘over’ the 54 ½ point line by 2 ½ points. Once again Burris had a field day completing 15-of-23 attempts for 226 yards and three TD’s. Wide receiver WR Romby Bryant led the way with five receptions for 80 yards and two TD’s.

The win moved Calgary’s record to 8-1 straight up and 7-2 against the spread. The Stamps are currently in first place in the West Divisionhttp://www.donbest.com/cfl/standing/ with a two-game lead over Saskatchewan. They are 3-1 SU and ATS on the road this season.

Edmonton fell to 2-7 SU on the year and 3-5 ATS. The Eskimos are tied with B.C. for last place in the West. This season at home they are 2-3 both SU and ATS.

The difference between these two teams is night and day. Calgary is the most-balanced team in the league as its offense is first in total points scored with 323 and its defense is first in total points allowed with 182. The Stampeders also lead the lead in average yards per game (429.7) and average yards allowed (287.6). There are very few cracks on this team, if any at all.

Edmonton is the exact opposite. Its offense is ranked last in total points scored with just 167 and its defense is last in total points allowed, giving up 305. The Eskimos are averaging 339.3 yards of offense per game, ranking them sixth and giving up an average of 390.1 yards per game on defense, ranking them seventh.

Betus.com has Calgary listed as a 10 ½-point CFL betting favorite and the current ‘over/under’ line is 54 ½. The Stamps are 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last eight games against the Eskimos. The total has gone ‘over’ in five of those games.

Given the results of the first two meetings between these two teams you have to believe that Calgary has Edmonton’s number this season. Neither game has been remotely close as the Stamps have been able to keep the majority of their starters on the bench in the second half of both contests. I see no reason for this to change this time around as the Calgary easily covers for the third straight time.
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/10/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/05/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/03/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
Totals 5-5-0 50.00% -250

Saturday, September 11Game Score Status Pick Amount

Montreal - 1:00 PM ET Montreal +4 500 *****
Hamilton - Under 51 500 *****

Toronto - 4:00 PM ET BC Lions -4.5 500 *****
BC Lions - Under 48 500 *****
 

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Montreal at Hamilton

The Alouettes look to bounce back from their 38-17 loss to BC and build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Montreal is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 11

Game 493-494: Montreal at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 114.041; Hamilton 116.583
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 2 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 3 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+3 1/2); Over

Game 495-496: Toronto at BC (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.645; BC 108.032
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 49 1/2
Vegas Line: BC by 5; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+5); Over
 

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Week 11


Saturday, September 11

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MONTREAL (6 - 3) at HAMILTON (5 - 4) - 9/11/2010, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-4 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 7-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (5 - 4) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (2 - 7) - 9/11/2010, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Week 11 CFL games


Montreal (6-3) @ Hamilton (5-4)-- Montreal hurting without star QB Calvillo (ribs); sub MacPherson eligible to come off injured list for this. TiCats won last four games, beating Argos, Winnipeg twice each; they lost 37-14 at Montreal in Week 4 (+7), in game that was just 10-6 at half. Hamilton won last three home games after losing home opener by point to Riders. Als are 2-2 on road; they're dog for first time in 2010.

Toronto (5-4) @ BCLions (2-7)-- BC (-2) lost 24-20 at Toronto back in Week 4; Argos ran ball for 169 yards in game they trailed 17-10 at half. Toronto is 2-2 on road, with two wins by total of just 3 points. Lions snapped 7-game skid with upset win at Montreal last week; they're 0-4 at home, losing by 19-4-5-13 points. BC picked off seven passes in last three games, after four picks in first sx contests.
 

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Week 11



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Trend Report
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Saturday, September 11

1:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. HAMILTON
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing Montreal

4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of British Columbia's last 15 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of British Columbia's last 5 games at home
 

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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 11 Analysis and predictions
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Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-3, 52)

The Alouettes were stunned earlier this week when Walter Spencer, their top special teams player, was almost killed outside a bar in Montreal. A loss in Hamilton could cost the Alouettes first place in the East.

Adrian McPherson comes back from a knee injury to try and replace Anthony Calvillo, who’s still recovering from that nasty hit he took a few weeks ago. McPherson insists he’s in game shape and vows he will be able to run the ball at ease despite wearing a brace for precautionary reasons.

The Alouettes want to bounce back from a tough loss to B.C. in front of their Montreal fans but it won’t be an easy task against these TiCats. Hamilton renewed its confidence after two straight wins against the Toronto Argonauts.

Pick: Hamilton


Toronto Argonauts at B.C. Lions (-4.5, 48.5)


The Argonauts head into Vancouver without some their key players. Dominic Picard and Taylor Robertson will be the only two regular starters on offensive line for Toronto. The Argos will also be without star receiver Jeremaine Copeland (elbow) and Adriano Belli (foot) who has been one of their pillars on defense.

To have a shot at victory in this one, the Argonauts will need to QB Cleo Lemon and RB Cory Boyd to be as productive as they were earlier in the season. But for that to happen, the refurbished offensive line will need to play above expectations.

The Lions are a better team than their record indicates. Just as the Alouettes.

Pick: British Columbia
 

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Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
09/11/10 3-1-0 75.00% +950 Detail
09/10/10 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/10 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/05/10 2-0-0 100.00% +1000 Detail
09/03/10 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
Totals 8-6-0 57.14% +700

Sunday, September 12Game Score Status Pick Amount

Saskatchewan - 1:00 PM ET Saskatchewan -3.5 500 *****
Winnipeg - Under 55 500 *****
 

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SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 12

Game 497-498: Saskatchewan at Winnipeg (1:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 114.090; Winnipeg 107.732
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 6 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4); Under




CFL
Long Sheet



Week 11

Sunday, September 12

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SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 3) at WINNIPEG (2 - 7) - 9/12/2010, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 143-108 ATS (+24.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 143-108 ATS (+24.2 Units) in all lined games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) when playing on a Sunday since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 130-97 ATS (+23.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL
Write-Up



Week 11 CFL games

Saskatchewan (6-3) @ Winnipeg (2-7)-- Roughriders lost last three road games, by 20-4-3 points; they held off Bombers 27-23 last week (-9), in game where Winnipeg outgained them by 35 yards. Three of Riders' last four games were decided by four or less points. Bombers lost their last five games; they're 2-2 at home, losing 36-34 to Argos, 39-28 to TiCats. Last four Saskatchewan games stayed under the total.




CFL


Week 11


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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. WINNIPEG
Saskatchewan is 1-6-1 SU in its last 8 games ,on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games



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Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 11 Analysis and predictions
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Saskatchewan Roughriders at Winnipeg Blue Bombers (+4, 56.5)

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers, last in the East, suffered another blow on Labour Day when their starting QB Buck Pierce fell to another serious injury in a 27-23 loss to these Roughriders. Backup QB Steven Jyles is now the one who will try to stop a five-game losing streak.

In four starts this season, Jyles completed almost 63 percent of his pass attempts, gained 1322 yards through the air, threw eight touchdown passes and was intercepted only twice. He has the second-best QB rating in the CFL (104.1) right behind Anthony Calvillo of the Alouettes (111.6).

Grey Cup finalists last year, the Saskatchewan Roughriders have proved to be an enigma so far in 2010, mainly because of a lack of consistency on offense. After scoring tons of points in their first two games of the regular season against the Alouettes and the Lions, the Riders have had ups and downs with an offense that featured the best and the worst from QB Darian Durant.

Despite losing key players like John Chick, Stevie Baggs, Rey Williams and Eddie Davis during the offseason, the Riders’ stopper unit has been as reliable as last year. But this defense is not totally healthy.

Safety James Patrick, who leads the CFL for interceptions with seven, missed practice this week because of a knee injury that will most likely prevent him from playing on Sunday. Linebacker Daniel Francis is also injured but expected to play against the Bombers.

Pick: Saskatchewan
 

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